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UBS reports that TotalEnergies and Shell are the most crowded long positions in the energy sector, with TotalEnergies benefiting from strong results and higher European prices. Shell's crowding score rose significantly after a positive Capital Markets Day, while refining subsectors, particularly Neste, faced high short interest due to declining margins. Equinor saw a notable drop in net long positions amid easing geopolitical tensions, while hedge fund activity showed mixed trends, with TotalEnergies and Equinor attracting inflows, contrasting with outflows from Shell and OMV.
TotalEnergies and Shell have emerged as the most crowded long positions in the energy sector, driven by TotalEnergies' strong performance and Shell's positive Capital Markets Day. In contrast, Neste faces significant short interest due to weak renewable diesel margins, while green hydrogen companies remain heavily shorted amid delayed market adoption. Hedge fund activity shows Shell experiencing notable outflows, while TotalEnergies and Equinor attract inflows, reflecting differing investment strategies.
Higher natural gas prices are expected to boost European energy sector earnings in the first quarter, with analysts projecting a nearly 30% increase in net income quarter-on-quarter. This uptick is attributed to strong gas prices and increased trading contributions amid market volatility. Upstream unit earnings are also forecasted to rise by 12%, marking the first sequential increase in five quarters, as companies focus on shareholder returns while managing capital expenditures.
Equinor ASA's stock price target has been lowered by Morgan Stanley from $30.90 to $28.20, maintaining an "overweight" rating, suggesting a potential upside of 16.15%. Analysts have mixed ratings, with one sell, three holds, ten buys, and two strong buys, leading to a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" and an average target price of $28.10. The company reported a quarterly EPS of $0.63, missing estimates, and has a market capitalization of $67.81 billion.
Chappal Energies has finalized the acquisition of Equinor Nigeria Energy Company, a subsidiary of Norway's Equinor ASA. The deal, first reported by Bloomberg Terminal in 2023, received regulatory approval in Nigeria in November after a prolonged review process. The transaction was executed through Project Odinmim, a special purpose vehicle owned by Chappal, for an undisclosed amount.
Shell and Equinor are set to form Britain's largest independent oil and gas company through a joint venture, combining their U.K. offshore assets in Aberdeen. The new entity aims to produce over 140,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day by 2025, enhancing the U.K.'s energy security amid rising fiscal challenges in the sector. This strategic move is expected to leverage tax synergies and strengthen cash flow for both companies.
Equinor's CEO, Anders Opedal, warned that a harsh winter could lead to intense competition for gas between Asian and European consumers, as supply remains tight. While he does not expect the extreme volatility of 2022, he noted that minor market changes could significantly impact prices due to the precarious supply-demand balance.
The offshore wind industry is advancing with floating wind technology, allowing turbines to be placed in deeper waters, enhancing efficiency and reducing conflicts with coastal communities. A collaborative project off Ulsan, Korea, aims to develop 6.2 gigawatts of floating wind capacity by 2031, supported by US taxpayer-funded initiatives. As the US sets ambitious goals for offshore wind, including 15 gigawatts of floating capacity by 2035, companies like Principle Power are poised to play a significant role in this evolving sector.
UBS has raised its target price for Equinor, as reported by Cercle Finance and published by BOURSORAMA. The analysis is provided for informational purposes only, with BOURSORAMA acting solely as a distribution channel and maintaining a conflict of interest management policy to ensure objectivity.
UBS has raised its target price for Equinor to €280 from €275, maintaining a neutral stance on the stock. The company"s recent results were largely in line with expectations, with an operating profit of $6.887 billion slightly below consensus, while adjusted profit of $2.043 billion exceeded forecasts due to lower taxes.
Equinor ASA
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The information provided herein is generated by experimental artificial intelligence and is for informational purposes only.
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